The point of normative models in judgment and decision making
نویسنده
چکیده
In this comment, I shall try to summarize arguments that I have made before (Baron, 1985, 1994, 2004, 2006, 2008). These arguments are my attempt to state the standard view in the field of judgment and decision making (JDM). JDM is applied psychology. The ultimate goal is to improve judgments and decisions, or keep them from getting worse. In order to achieve this goal we need to know what good judgments and decisions are. That is, we need criteria for evaluation, so that we can gather data on the goodness of judgments, find out what makes them better or worse, and test method for improving them when there is room for improvement. This is the main function of normative models. Examples of normative models in JDM are:
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